Articles by Estefano Gomez
The US-Iran conflict has intensified, disrupting the Strait of Hormuz and pushing Brent crude over $100 per barrel, while the Polymarket contract for WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April trades at 25%я┐╜...
Hezbollah Secretary General Sheikh Naim Qassem denounced BeirutтАЩs peace talks with Israel in Washington as humiliating, while the group released footage of a drone strike on IDF troops. The Israel-H...
IranтАЩs Foreign Minister criticized the US in talks with RussiaтАЩs Putin, citing тАЬdestructive habitsтАЭ and тАЬunreasonable demandsтАЭ as barriers to diplomacy. The market for no US-Iran diplomati...
IranтАЩs Foreign Minister accused the US of obstructing diplomatic efforts, citing тАЬdestructive habitsтАЭ and тАЬunreasonable demands.тАЭ The odds of a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 have dropped ...
IranтАЩs foreign minister told Putin that U.S. tactics are blocking diplomatic progress. The Polymarket contract for no US-Iran meeting by June 30 trades at 16.7%
YES, up from 9% yesterday.
Market ...
Yadollah Javani of the IRGC asserts the US canтАЩt reopen the Strait of Hormuz through military force. Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by May 15 sits at 17.5%
YES, down from 20% yesterd...
GermanyтАЩs Friedrich Merz accused Iran of humiliating the US as diplomatic talks stall. The Polymarket contract for no US-Iran meeting by June 30 is at 16.7%
YES, up from 9% yesterday.
The market ...
More than half of the Middle EastтАЩs urea output is potentially lost amid the Iran conflict, raising concerns about global food inflation. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 sits at 0.9%
YES, down...
Iran has reportedly offered a proposal to the U.S. to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, contingent on ending hostilities and securing guarantees against future conflicts, per WSJ. Diplomatic meetings withя┐╜...
EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen took a firm stance on Iran sanctions, signaling continued pressure. The market for Iran surrendering its enriched uranium stockpile by April 30 is at 1%
я┐╜...
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