Articles by Estefano Gomez
China is reportedly considering a slower pace of consumer lending rate cuts, according to Caixin. On PolymarketтАЩs China Annual GDP Growth 2026 market, the probability of 2026 annual GDP growth falli...
Iranian state media reports the collection of toll revenue from the Strait of Hormuz, with funds already in the Central Bank. The probability of 80 ships transiting daily by April 30 is at 5%
, downя┐╜...
A Pentagon assessment shared with Congress suggests mine clearance in the Strait of Hormuz could take up to six months. The market for 80 ships transiting by April 30 now sits at 5%
YES, down from я┐╜...
Lindsey Graham hinted at a possible global expansion of the U.S. blockade on Iran. The market for a U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30 sits at 100%
YES, but GrahamтАЩs statement points toward ...
Israel has set up a military zone several kilometers into southern Lebanon, called the тАЬYellow Line,тАЭ despite an existing ceasefire. The market for an Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026...
Honeywell announced the $1.4 billion sale of its Productivity Solutions and Services business to Brady Corporation, while SpaceXтАЩs S-1 filing projects a $28.5 trillion addressable market. The odds f...
Binance has surpassed $1.09 trillion in trading volume just 112 days into 2026, driven by institutional demand. BitcoinтАЩs year-end price prediction market sits at 5.0%
YES for reaching $200,000 by...
SolanaтАЩs PropAMM recorded $19.8B in March trading volume, surpassing the $19.2B combined SOL spot volume on the top four centralized exchanges. The likelihood of Solana reaching $150 in April is at ...
US Treasury Secretary Bessent has denied claims that Iran received $14 billion from sanctions relief, and the probability of a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 has dropped to 7.4%
YES, down from 20я┐╜...
SK Hynix reported a five-fold jump in quarterly profits driven by AI-related demand, and the Polymarket contract on whether NVIDIA will be the largest company by market cap on June 30 sits at 90.5%
я┐╜...
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