Articles by Estefano Gomez
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi visited Moscow this week, and the market on no qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, jumped to 17%
YES, up from 9% yesterday.
The nuclear я┐╜...
BitMine Immersion Technologies has increased its Ethereum holdings to 5.078 million ETH, roughly 4.2% of total supply. The Polymarket contract for Ethereum above $1,900 on April 25 trades at 99.9%
я┐╜...
IranтАЩs official Mortazavi confirmed the Caspian SeaтАЩs integration into supply chains for essential goods, citing ongoing concerns with the Strait of Hormuz. The probability of 80 ships transiting ...
Tom Lee and Bitmine Immersion Technologies have accumulated more than 5 million Ethereum (ETH), reaching their тАЬAlchemy of 5%тАЭ target. Ethereum above $1,900 on April 24 is at 99.9%
YES.
Market ...
Trump is set to hold a national security meeting on the Iran stalemate, while the Polymarket contract for Bitcoin dipping to $76,000 by April 24 sits at 0.1%
YES.
The Bitcoin price market for Apriя┐╜...
Trump plans a national security meeting to discuss the Iran stalemate, as reported by CNN. The odds of Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April are at 3%
, down from 14% yesterday.
Neя┐╜...
The US-Iran conflict, marked by IranтАЩs blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, has raised questions about the petrodollarтАЩs future, but prediction markets show limited movement. The Crude Oil All Time H...
Goldman Sachs says global markets want resolution on US-Iran tensions. The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April sits at 0.2%
YES.
Market reaction
The contract has dropped fя┐╜...
BritainтАЩs Prime Minister Keir Starmer could face a leadership challenge after local elections on May 7. The odds of him being out by December 31, 2026, currently sit at 68.5%
YES, up from 66% a da...
Iran has proposed reopening the Strait of Hormuz during Pakistan-mediated talks, while nuclear deal negotiations remain at an impasse. The market for Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by Mя┐╜...
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