Articles by Estefano Gomez
The U.S. is preparing to counter Iranian fast-attack boats using lethal tactics proven effective in Venezuela. Kharg Island control by June 30 is at 12.5%
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Market reaction
The Kharg Island controя┐╜...
Trump expressed willingness to visit Pakistan to finalize a US-Iran deal. The permanent peace deal market for April 22, 2026, is at 28.5%
YES, up from 12% a week ago.
Market reaction
TrumpтАЩs com...
TrumpтАЩs warning of renewed hostilities if no ceasefire deal is reached has pushed traders further toward skepticism on a quick resolution. The market for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 21 sits at 8%
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Netanyahu has agreed to a 10-day ceasefire with Lebanon, brokered by Trump, to advance peace negotiations. The market for Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026 is at 99.0%
YES.
The temporя┐╜...
The White House said IranтАЩs ability to conduct business is severely hindered by the ongoing U.S.-led blockade. The uranium enrichment agreement market for April 30 moved to 39.2%
YES, up from 35% ...
IsraelтАЩs reported secret meeting with Marine Le Pen marks a break in its longstanding boycott of the National Rally party, and her 2027 French presidential election odds now sit at 5.5%
YES, down ...
LebanonтАЩs direct talks with Israeli and American officials have moved forward, and the Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting market for April 30 is at 100%
YES.
Market reaction
LebanonтАЩs participa...
Joe Kent, who recently resigned as Director of the US National Counterterrorism Center amid an FBI investigation, claims all 18 US intelligence agencies assessed that Iran is not pursuing a nuclear wя┐╜...
An advisor to IranтАЩs Supreme Leader claimed that Iranian launchers are prepared to sink all US warships, pushing down the odds that Trump will announce an end to military operations against Iran by ...
ETF clients purchased $17.11 million worth of XRP on April 16, 2026, as a broader crypto market recovery tied to easing U.S.-Iran tensions pushed the XRP price prediction for April 19 to 0.2%
YES.
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